Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures above -11°C in Toronto on March 17.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being -11°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low chance of the temperature reaching -11°C.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures being -11°C or below.
• 2 The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in the NO outcome.
• 3 Market pricing indicates a fair valuation with an edge of 1.
• 4 Time to expiry is immediate, heightening the urgency of weather developments.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in March typically do not support extreme cold in Toronto.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.