Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C or below on March 22?

High probability for Toronto's temperature to be 12°C or below on March 22.

The market shows a strong consensus with a 99% probability that the highest temperature in Toronto will be 12°C or below on March 22. The Pulse AI also supports this prediction with a 97.5% probability, indicating confidence in the forecast. With only 7 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of -1.5.

• 1 Market probability is heavily skewed towards YES at 99%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 97.5%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is limited at just 7 hours.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of -1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.