Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors a NO for Toronto's temperature reaching 14°C on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.65% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 14°C in Toronto on March 22. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a very low probability of YES at 1%. The confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors NO at 99.65%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating low likelihood of YES.
• 3 Confidence level of 65/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 7 hours, increasing urgency in market dynamics.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.65.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.