Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 15°C in Toronto on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.8% for NO, there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not reach 15°C. The Pulse AI probability aligns closely, indicating limited expectation for a temperature rise above this threshold within the next 7 hours.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 15°C.
• 2 The edge of 0.8 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market movements.
• 5 Historical weather data may support current temperature expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.