Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C or higher on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 15°C in Toronto on March 16.

With a market probability of 99.25% for NO, the consensus is that Toronto's temperature will not reach 15°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this, indicating a strong expectation for cooler weather on that date.

• 1 Market shows a strong belief in temperatures below 15°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 15°C.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in the NO outcome.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to future shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.