Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?

The market indicates a low probability for Toronto's temperature to reach 18°C on March 10.

With a market probability of 11% for temperatures reaching 18°C or higher, the consensus leans heavily towards a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment with an 87% probability for NO, suggesting that current forecasts do not support a significant warm-up in Toronto on that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment favors a NO outcome by a wide margin.
• 2 Forecasts do not indicate conditions conducive to high temperatures.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Toronto rarely exceed 18°C.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting confidence in current predictions.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal as the expiry is imminent.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.