Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 11?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 1°C in Toronto on March 11.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Toronto will not reach 1°C on March 11. With a consensus of 99% from Pulse AI, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting a strong belief in warmer conditions for that date.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against temperatures reaching 1°C.
• 2 The high confidence level suggests strong backing for the NO position.
• 3 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, with no significant fluctuations.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.