Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 21?

The market strongly favors temperatures above -1°C in Toronto on March 21.

With a market probability of 98.9% for NO, it suggests a consensus that the highest temperature will exceed -1°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely, indicating a low likelihood of temperatures reaching -1°C. The edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current expectations.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above -1°C.
• 2 The confidence level of 60/100 indicates moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 3 The time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 Historical weather patterns in March suggest temperatures are typically higher.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.