Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C or below on March 20?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 1°C in Toronto on March 20.

The prediction market indicates a 99.85% likelihood that the highest temperature in Toronto will exceed 1°C on March 20. This aligns closely with the Pulse AI probability, suggesting a consensus on warmer conditions. The confidence level is moderate at 65/100, indicating some uncertainty despite the strong market sentiment.

• 1 Market probability shows overwhelming confidence in temperatures above 1°C.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly underestimates market sentiment with a 1% YES probability.
• 3 Current confidence level suggests moderate uncertainty in forecasts.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 0.85.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.