Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or higher on March 17?

Market strongly favors temperatures below -1°C in Toronto on March 17.

The prediction market indicates a 99% probability that the highest temperature in Toronto will be below -1°C on March 17. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, which also suggests a low likelihood of temperatures exceeding this threshold, reflecting a consensus on expected weather conditions.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below -1°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a slight increase in confidence for warmer temperatures.
• 3 Current confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 1 hour remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a 1.5 edge.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.