Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Toronto's temperature on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.95% for NO, it suggests a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 20°C. The Pulse AI probability also indicates a low likelihood of YES at 1.55%, aligning closely with market sentiment. The confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly against reaching 20°C.
• 2 Historical weather data for March in Toronto typically shows lower temperatures.
• 3 Market liquidity appears stable, indicating confidence in current pricing.
• 4 Time pressure is minimal with only 5 hours until expiry.
• 5 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced relative to AI predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.