Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures below 22°C in Toronto on March 22.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.95% likelihood that the highest temperature in Toronto will be below 22°C on March 22. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 1% for temperatures reaching or exceeding this threshold, suggesting a consensus on cooler weather. With only 3 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors temperatures below 22°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood of higher temperatures.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, limiting potential for significant market shifts.
• 5 Edge of 0.95 indicates the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.