Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 12?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 2°C in Toronto on March 12.

With a market probability of 99.85% for 'NO', it indicates a strong consensus against the highest temperature reaching 2°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, albeit with a slightly higher probability for 'YES'. This suggests that while the market is confident in its prediction, there remains a minor chance for unexpected weather changes.

• 1 Market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 2°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest minimal chance of reaching 2°C.
• 3 The edge indicates the market is fairly priced based on available data.
• 4 Confidence level is moderate, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding to the unpredictability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.