Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 21?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Toronto's temperature on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.25% for NO, participants expect the highest temperature in Toronto to exceed -2°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this view, indicating a strong consensus against the temperature reaching the specified level. The market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.
• 2 The probability of YES is notably low at 0.75%.
• 3 Historical weather data suggests temperatures are unlikely to drop that low in March.
• 4 The market shows a fair pricing edge of 1.5.
• 5 Time to expiry is limited, with only 64 hours remaining.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.