Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C or below on March 31?

Market strongly favors temperatures above -2°C in Toronto on March 31.

The prediction market indicates a high probability (99.55%) that the highest temperature in Toronto will exceed -2°C on March 31. With a low market probability for the YES outcome and a relatively balanced AI probability, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO outcome at 99.55%.
• 2 AI probability also indicates a strong NO at 98.05%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 24 hours, increasing urgency.
• 5 Edge of 1.5 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on current data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.