Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C or below on March 8?

Market strongly favors temperatures above 2°C in Toronto on March 8.

The prediction market indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Toronto will exceed 2°C on March 8. With a low confidence level of 65/100, the market appears fairly priced, suggesting that while the consensus is clear, there may be some uncertainty about the forecasted weather conditions.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above 2°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, showing minimal chance for YES.
• 3 Current confidence level indicates moderate uncertainty in forecasts.
• 4 No liquidity issues are evident in the market at this time.
• 5 Historical weather data typically shows March temperatures above this threshold.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.