Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on March 21?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Toronto will not be -3°C on March 21.

With a market probability of 99.3% for NO, there is a strong consensus against the temperature reaching -3°C. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment with a probability of 97.8% for NO, indicating a low likelihood of this event occurring.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.3%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns with market, showing 97.8% for NO.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 55/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 64 hours, adding urgency.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.