Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C or higher on March 27?

The market predicts a low chance of Toronto reaching 3°C on March 27.

Current market probabilities indicate a 7.5% chance of temperatures in Toronto exceeding 3°C on March 27, with a consensus leaning towards a NO outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this view, suggesting a 9% probability for YES. Given the edge of 1.5, the market appears fairly priced with moderate confidence.

• 1 Market probability favors NO at 92.5%.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market, indicating low temperature expectations.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, only 3 hours remaining.
• 5 Edge of 1.5 suggests market pricing is reasonable.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.