Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 17?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Toronto will not be -4°C on March 17.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Toronto will not reach -4°C on March 17. The AI probability aligns closely with the market, suggesting a consensus on the expected weather conditions. With only 2 hours until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced with a confidence level of 65 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus with 100% NO probability.
• 2 AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment at 99% NO.
• 3 Confidence level of 65 indicates moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 2 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.