Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on March 14?

The market strongly favors temperatures above -4°C in Toronto on March 14.

Current market probabilities indicate a 100% expectation that the highest temperature in Toronto will exceed -4°C on March 14. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, suggesting a minimal chance of colder temperatures. Given the confidence level of 65/100, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against temperatures dropping to -4°C or below.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment with minimal divergence.
• 3 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.
• 4 No significant liquidity issues observed in this market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.