Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C or below on March 21?

Market indicates a high likelihood that Toronto's temperature will exceed -4°C on March 21.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the temperature being -4°C or below, with a 99.7% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of such cold temperatures occurring in Toronto at that time.

• 1 Current market probability heavily favors temperatures above -4°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment, reinforcing confidence in predictions.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the outcome.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to any potential changes in forecasts.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a slight edge of 1.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.