Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 12?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Toronto on March 12.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', it is highly unlikely that the highest temperature will reach 5°C. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability for this outcome, indicating a consensus on warmer expectations for that date.

• 1 Market sentiment overwhelmingly favors temperatures above 5°C.
• 2 Current weather forecasts do not support a high of 5°C.
• 3 Historical data suggests March temperatures in Toronto are typically higher.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable with low volatility in predictions.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unclear, but current data is consistent.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.