Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 21?

The market indicates a low probability for Toronto's temperature to reach 5°C on March 21.

The current market probability shows a 25% chance of the highest temperature in Toronto being 5°C on March 21, with a stronger consensus against it at 75%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, suggesting a 30% chance for a YES outcome, but overall confidence remains moderate at 55 out of 100.

• 1 Current sentiment leans heavily towards a NO outcome.
• 2 Market shows a notable edge indicating insufficient data for a confident assessment.
• 3 The confidence level of 55 suggests moderate uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 Temperature forecasts are subject to change based on evolving weather conditions.
• 5 Liquidity in this market may impact the volatility of predictions as the date approaches.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.