Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Toronto on March 28.

The prediction market shows a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Toronto will not reach 5°C on March 28, indicating a strong consensus against this outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a 99% probability for 'NO', suggesting that current forecasts and historical trends support this prediction.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures above 5°C.
• 2 Historical weather data for late March typically shows higher temperatures.
• 3 The market appears fairly priced with a small edge of 0.95.
• 4 Confidence in the prediction is relatively high at 85 out of 100.
• 5 No time pressure is indicated, as the expiry time is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.