Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or below on March 16?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 5°C in Toronto on March 16.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being 5°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI probability also reflects this sentiment, indicating a very low chance of colder temperatures. Given the high confidence level and the time remaining until expiry, the market appears to be fairly priced.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures above 5°C.
• 2 Current sentiment indicates no likelihood of colder weather.
• 3 High confidence level suggests reliable market pricing.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency in predictions.
• 5 Low liquidity may affect market responsiveness to new information.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.