Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on March 20?

The market indicates a low probability of Toronto reaching 6°C on March 20.

Current market probabilities suggest a strong belief that the highest temperature in Toronto will not reach 6°C on March 20, with a NO probability of 88%. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, with a slightly higher YES probability of 14%. Overall, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong NO sentiment at 88%.
• 2 Pulse AI slightly favors NO at 86%, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, suggesting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 1 hour remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 2.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.