Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 7°C on March 20?

The market favors a NO outcome for Toronto's temperature reaching 7°C on March 20.

Current market probabilities indicate a 66.5% likelihood that Toronto's highest temperature will not reach 7°C on March 20. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 63.5% NO probability, suggesting a consensus against the temperature threshold being met. With only 2 hours until expiry, the market appears fairly priced with a confidence level of 60 out of 100.

• 1 Market probability favors NO at 66.5%, indicating skepticism about reaching 7°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, showing 63.5% NO probability.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, reflecting some uncertainty.
• 4 Time to expiry is short at 2 hours, limiting potential for major shifts.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3, suggesting balanced views.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.