Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -7°C or below on March 27?

The market strongly predicts temperatures above -7°C in Toronto on March 27.

With a market probability of 0% for temperatures being -7°C or below, the consensus is that it will be warmer. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar outlook, indicating a high likelihood of temperatures exceeding this threshold.

• 1 Market sentiment strongly favors temperatures above -7°C.
• 2 Current probabilities suggest a stable forecast with little volatility.
• 3 Historical data indicates March temperatures in Toronto are typically above this threshold.
• 4 Liquidity appears adequate, supporting the current market pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 3 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.