Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C on March 28?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 8°C in Toronto on March 28.

With a market probability of 99.95% for 'NO', there is a strong consensus that the highest temperature will not be 8°C. The Pulse AI probability also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating minimal expectation for a temperature of 8°C on that date. The edge of 0.95 suggests the market is fairly priced based on current data.

• 1 Current market sentiment heavily favors temperatures below 8°C.
• 2 The probability of 8°C is extremely low, indicating strong confidence in the 'NO' outcome.
• 3 Historical weather patterns in late March typically do not support high temperatures in Toronto.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent participant engagement.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, but current forecasts dominate market expectations.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.