Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 8°C or higher on March 31?

High probability for Toronto's temperature to reach 8°C or higher on March 31.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Toronto will be 8°C or higher on March 31, with a market probability of 98.80%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, indicating a 95.8% likelihood. The market appears fairly priced, suggesting limited room for significant shifts in sentiment.

• 1 Current market sentiment is overwhelmingly in favor of temperatures exceeding 8°C.
• 2 The market probability aligns closely with the AI probability, indicating consensus.
• 3 Confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in the prediction.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, which may limit the impact of new information.
• 5 The edge of -3 indicates that the market is fairly priced based on available data.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.