Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C on March 16?

The market strongly favors a NO outcome for Toronto's temperature on March 16.

Current market probabilities indicate a 99.65% likelihood that the highest temperature in Toronto will not reach 9°C on March 16. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 98.15% probability for the NO outcome, suggesting a consensus against the temperature reaching the specified threshold.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in a NO outcome.
• 2 Current sentiment heavily favors lower temperatures.
• 3 Weather forecasts are critical in shaping market views.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable with low volatility.
• 5 Time pressure is minimal with only 2 hours until expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.