Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -9°C on March 17?

The market strongly favors temperatures above -9°C in Toronto on March 17.

Current market data indicates a 0% probability of the highest temperature in Toronto reaching -9°C on March 17, with a consensus leaning towards warmer conditions. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment, predicting only a 1% chance of this outcome. The confidence level of 65 suggests moderate certainty in this assessment.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above -9°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating low likelihood.
• 3 Confidence level suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 4 No significant liquidity concerns noted in the market.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unspecified, adding uncertainty to future predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.