Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts the temperature will not reach 10°C in Warsaw on March 29.

Current market probabilities indicate a consensus that the highest temperature in Warsaw will not hit 10°C on March 29, with a 100% NO probability. The Pulse AI supports this view with a 99% NO probability, suggesting strong confidence in the forecasted outcome.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against reaching 10°C.
• 2 Confidence level is high at 85/100, indicating reliability.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Low liquidity may limit market responsiveness to new information.
• 5 Current sentiment heavily favors a NO outcome.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.