Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 11°C on March 29?

The market strongly predicts that Warsaw's temperature won't reach 11°C on March 29.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Warsaw will not reach 11°C on March 29. This aligns with the Pulse AI's assessment, which also shows a very low likelihood of this temperature being met. The market appears to be fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market probability shows a strong consensus against reaching 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability slightly suggests a minimal chance of 1% for YES.
• 3 High confidence level of 85 indicates strong market conviction.
• 4 The edge of 1 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Weather forecasts and climate trends are key factors influencing this market.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.