Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on March 29?

The market predicts no chance of Warsaw reaching 12°C on March 29.

Current market sentiment indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Warsaw will not reach 12°C on March 29. The Pulse AI also supports this view with a 99% probability for 'NO'. Given the edge of 1, the market appears to be fairly priced, reflecting strong confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Market consensus shows a strong belief in cooler temperatures.
• 2 The probability of 0% for 'YES' suggests no expected warming trend.
• 3 Confidence level of 85 indicates strong market conviction.
• 4 Historical weather data may support the current predictions.
• 5 Market liquidity appears stable, reflecting consistent trader sentiment.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.