Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on March 22?

The market predicts that Warsaw's temperature will not reach 14°C on March 22.

Current market probabilities indicate a strong consensus against the temperature reaching 14°C in Warsaw on the specified date. With a market probability of 0% for 'YES' and 100% for 'NO', the sentiment is firmly against this outcome, supported by a high confidence level of 85/100.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus with 100% probability for 'NO'.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment at 99% for 'NO'.
• 3 Confidence level of 85/100 suggests strong conviction in the prediction.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.