Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on March 29?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 15°C in Warsaw on March 29.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Warsaw will not reach 15°C on March 29. The Pulse AI also reflects a similar sentiment with a 99% probability for the 'NO' outcome, suggesting strong consensus among participants.

• 1 Market probability is firmly against temperatures reaching 15°C.
• 2 Pulse AI aligns closely with market sentiment, indicating strong confidence.
• 3 The edge of 1 suggests the market is accurately priced.
• 4 Confidence level of 85/100 indicates a robust consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry remains unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.