Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on March 22?

High probability for Warsaw's temperature to reach 15°C or higher on March 22.

The prediction market indicates a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Warsaw will be 15°C or higher on March 22, with a market probability of 99.95%. The Pulse AI also supports this view, albeit with a slightly lower probability of 95.45%, suggesting a high level of confidence in this outcome.

• 1 Market shows extreme confidence in a warm temperature outcome.
• 2 AI probability is slightly lower, indicating some uncertainty.
• 3 The edge suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 High confidence level reflects strong consensus among participants.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, impacting market dynamics.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.