Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 23?

The market favors a NO outcome for Warsaw's temperature on March 23.

Current market probability indicates a 73% chance that the highest temperature in Warsaw will not reach 16°C on March 23. The Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 34%, but overall confidence is moderate at 50/100, reflecting uncertainty. The edge score of 7 indicates insufficient data for a confident assessment.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 73%.
• 2 Pulse AI shows a YES probability of 34%, indicating some optimism.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate, suggesting uncertainty in predictions.
• 4 The edge score of 7 highlights insufficient data for a strong conclusion.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 34 hours, increasing urgency in market movements.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.