Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 29?

The market predicts a 0% chance of Warsaw reaching 16°C on March 29.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus against the likelihood of Warsaw's temperature reaching 16°C on March 29, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI corroborates this sentiment with a slightly higher probability for 'YES' at 2%, indicating low confidence in a temperature rise to that level.

• 1 Market indicates a strong belief that temperatures will not reach 16°C.
• 2 Pulse AI shows minimal probability for a temperature increase.
• 3 Current sentiment is firmly against the possibility of warmer weather.
• 4 The edge suggests the market is accurately priced based on available data.
• 5 Confidence level indicates moderate certainty in the current predictions.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.