Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 29?

High likelihood of Warsaw reaching 17°C or higher on March 29.

The prediction market indicates a 99.95% probability that the highest temperature in Warsaw will be 17°C or higher on March 29, suggesting strong confidence in this outcome. The Pulse AI also supports this with a 95.45% probability, indicating a consensus among participants that warmer weather is expected.

• 1 Market probability is extremely high at 99.95%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely at 95.45%.
• 3 The edge of -4.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 4 Confidence level is strong at 85 out of 100.
• 5 Time to expiry is currently unknown, adding uncertainty.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.