Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 7°C in Warsaw on March 22.

The prediction market shows a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Warsaw will not reach 7°C on March 22, indicating a consensus against this outcome. The AI probability aligns closely with the market, suggesting confidence in the forecasted temperatures being higher than 7°C. With a confidence rating of 85/100, the market appears fairly priced, reflecting stable expectations.

• 1 Market consensus is firmly against temperatures reaching 7°C.
• 2 AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment, reinforcing confidence.
• 3 High confidence level suggests strong belief in current forecasts.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 Time to expiry is unknown, adding uncertainty to potential shifts.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.