Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 23?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 7°C in Warsaw on March 23.

With a market probability of 99.5% for temperatures exceeding 7°C, the consensus is clear. The Pulse AI also reflects a low probability of 4% for temperatures at or below this threshold, indicating strong confidence in warmer conditions.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures at or below 7°C.
• 2 High confidence level of 60/100 suggests moderate certainty in predictions.
• 3 Time to expiry is short, adding urgency to market dynamics.
• 4 Current sentiment heavily favors warmer weather in Warsaw.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 3.5.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.