Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C or below on March 29?

The market strongly predicts temperatures in Warsaw will exceed 7°C on March 29.

Current market data indicates a 100% probability that the highest temperature in Warsaw will be above 7°C on March 29. The Pulse AI corroborates this with a 99% probability for the 'NO' outcome, suggesting strong consensus among participants. The market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level of 85 out of 100.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus against temperatures being 7°C or below.
• 2 Current sentiment heavily favors warmer conditions in Warsaw.
• 3 Historical weather data suggests March temperatures typically exceed 7°C.
• 4 Market liquidity appears stable, supporting the current pricing.
• 5 Time pressure is not a factor as the expiry date is unknown.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.