Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 8°C on March 29?

The market strongly indicates that Warsaw's temperature will not reach 8°C on March 29.

Current market probabilities show a definitive NO at 100%, suggesting a consensus that the temperature will not meet the 8°C mark. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a very low chance of YES at 1%. The confidence level of 85/100 reflects a strong belief in this outcome.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors NO at 100%.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely aligns with market at 99% for NO.
• 3 High confidence level suggests robust data backing the NO prediction.
• 4 Current sentiment indicates little expectation for temperatures to rise significantly.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.