Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C or below on March 14?

Wellington's temperature is expected to exceed 10°C on March 14.

The prediction market shows a strong consensus that the highest temperature in Wellington will be above 10°C, with a 100% probability for 'NO'. The Pulse AI also aligns with this view, indicating a very low chance of temperatures being 10°C or below, reflecting a high confidence level in this forecast.

• 1 Market probability strongly favors temperatures above 10°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability closely mirrors market sentiment.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 65/100.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, with only 6 hours remaining.
• 5 Market appears fairly priced with a low edge of 1.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.