Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on March 26?

The market strongly favors temperatures not reaching 11°C in Wellington on March 26.

With a market probability of 99.75% for NO, the consensus is that Wellington will not hit 11°C on March 26. The Pulse AI also aligns closely with this sentiment, indicating a low likelihood of the temperature reaching the specified threshold.

• 1 Market probability heavily favors NO at 99.75%.
• 2 Pulse AI suggests a slightly higher probability for YES at 1.75%.
• 3 Confidence level is moderate at 60/100, indicating some uncertainty.
• 4 The edge of 1.5 suggests the market is fairly priced.
• 5 Time to expiry is short at 41 hours, increasing potential volatility.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.