Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on March 9?

The market predicts Wellington's temperature will exceed 11°C on March 9.

Current market sentiment indicates a strong belief that the highest temperature in Wellington will be above 11°C on March 9, with a 100% probability assigned to the NO outcome. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, assigning a 99% probability to the NO outcome, suggesting a consensus on warmer conditions. Given the edge of 1, the market appears fairly priced with a high confidence level.

• 1 Market shows strong confidence in temperatures exceeding 11°C.
• 2 Pulse AI probability aligns closely with market sentiment.
• 3 High confidence level of 80/100 indicates reliable predictions.
• 4 Market appears fairly priced with an edge of 1.
• 5 No imminent time pressure noted before expiry.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.