Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C or below on March 22?

The market strongly favors temperatures above 12°C in Wellington on March 22.

With a market probability of 99.6% for NO, it suggests a high expectation for temperatures exceeding 12°C. The Pulse AI probability further supports this, indicating only a 1.9% chance for YES. The confidence level of 60/100 reflects moderate certainty in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows a strong consensus on temperatures exceeding 12°C.
• 2 Current sentiment is heavily skewed towards warmer weather.
• 3 Historical weather data for March in Wellington supports higher temperatures.
• 4 Liquidity appears stable, with minimal fluctuations in betting activity.
• 5 Time pressure is moderate with 49 hours until the market closes.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.