Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on March 19?

The market strongly predicts the highest temperature in Wellington will not reach 13°C on March 19.

With a market probability of 0% for a 13°C high, participants are confident it will not occur. The Pulse AI also reflects this sentiment, with a 1% probability for a YES outcome. The confidence level of 80/100 indicates a strong belief in this prediction.

• 1 Market shows strong consensus against a 13°C high.
• 2 High confidence level suggests stability in predictions.
• 3 Low liquidity may limit market responsiveness to new information.
• 4 Time to expiry is short, increasing urgency for updates.
• 5 Historical weather patterns support the current market stance.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Mar '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.